Whilst there
are many time frames that can be used for calculating
Pivots, for the purpose of this exercise lets concentrate
on the daily time frame (i.e.: 24hr) Pivot Points are
calculated using the previous days, Open, High, Low, and
Close figures. There are many Pivot Point calculators
available on the web so you don’t have to waste
your time doing the calculations manually. Also bear in
mind the longer the time frame you are using the longer
you must be prepared to stay in the market or wait for
the next entry point.
Pivot points unlike many other indicators
are an objective tool. Because they are mathematically
calculated, there can only be one answer for a specific
time period.
Many subjective indicators like Fibonacci
retracements, (and I am a great fib fan) Elliot waves
etc. can have different people trading in different directions
at the same time due to individual interpretation..
The PP’s can help you to predict
the next day’s highs and lows in advance. PP’s
can give you anything from 4 to 8 support and resistance
levels. However you still have to be able to identify
the trend to be a successful PP trader. Pivot Points also
work best in a trending market.
Entry and exit points Pivot Points can
give you exact entry and exit points, rather than enter
markets that are in the middle of a run, or about to turn
the other way. Here is where we use other indicators to
assist on the entry or exit. If the market stalls at a
Pivot Point level, and you have an overbought or oversold
indicator that will be a good time to get in or out. Or
if a Fibonacci level coincides with a Pivot Point level
it can make a strong case to enter or exit a trade. If
the market is bullish and your favourite indicator is
not near overbought, when it hits the first resistance
level then you probably have a good case to stay in the
market and make your profit target the next Pivot Point
resistance line. The breakout above the 1st resistance
level can then become your new stop or stop reverse.
Obviously the reverse is true of the support
level as well. By combining the Pivot Points with your
favourite indicator you can develop your own trading system
that no one else uses.
Trading for the day will probably remain
between the 1st support (S1) and resistance (R1) levels
as the floor traders make their markets. Once one of these
levels is penetrated other traders will be attracted to
the market, and should the second level be breached, the
longer term traders are attracted to the market.
Knowledge of where the floor traders are
expecting support or resistance can be a distinct advantage
especially when there is no outside influence in the market.
Provided no significant market news has occurred between
yesterdays close and today’s opening, the local
floor traders and market makers tend to move the market
between the Pivot Point (P) and the first support line
(S1) and resistance (R1) If one of these levels is breached
then expect the market to test the next levels (S2) and
( S3) or (R2) and (R3)
Whilst there are many other aspects to
Pivot Point trading why not try this simple method first
and see if you can develop your own strategy by using
your existing trading technique’s in conjunction
with the Pivot Points.
Eddie Sieberhagen - Self Directed Trader FX HomeTrader
- Learn to trade Forex from Home. http://www.fxhometrader.co.za
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